Long term care statistics and information on long term care planning from long term care insurance industry organization

Long-Term Care Statistics

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The American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance provides the following statistics.

Who Needs Long-Term Care?

Baby boomers s6tart turning 65 in 2011 and the number of older people will increase dramatically during the 2010 to 2030 period. The older population in 2030 is projected to be twice as large as in 2000, growing from 35 million to 71.5 million. [Source: 2009 Long Term Care Insurance Sourcebook, American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance]

Between 2000 and 2040 the number of older adults with disabilities will more than double, increasing from about 10 million to 21 million. [Source: 2009 Long Term Care Insurance Sourcebook, American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance]

More that two-fifths (42%) of people age 65 and over reported a functional limitation. Eighteen percent had difficulty with 1-2 Activities of Daily Living. Five percent had difficulty with 304 ADLs. And three percent had difficulty with five to six ADLs. [Source: 2009 Long Term Care Insurance Sourcebook, American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance]


An estimated 10 million Americans needed long-term care in 2000. [ Rogers, S., & H. Komisar. Who needs long-term care? Fact Sheet, Long-Term Care Financing Project. Washington, DC: Georgetown University Press, 2003. ]

Most but not all persons in need of long-term care are elderly. Approximately 63% are persons aged 65 and older (6.3 million); the remaining 37% are 64 years of age and younger (3.7 million). [ Rogers, S., & H. Komisar. Who needs long-term care? Fact Sheet, Long-Term Care Financing Project. Washington, DC: Georgetown University Press, 2003. ]

The lifetime probability of becoming disabled in at least two activities of daily living or of being cognitively impaired is 68% for people age 65 and older. [ AARP. Beyond 50.2003: A Report to the Nation on Independent Living and Disability, 2003, (11 Jan 2005). ]

By 2050, the number of individuals using paid long-term care services in any setting (e.g., at home, residential care such as assisted living, or skilled nursing facilities) will likely double from the 13 million using services in 2000, to 27 million people. This estimate is influenced by growth in the population of older people in need of care. [U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, and U.S. Department of Labor. The future supply of long-term care workers in relation to the aging baby boom generation: Report to Congress. Washington, DC: ]

Of the older population with long-term care needs in the community, about 30% (1.5 million persons) have substantial long-term care needs (three or more ADL limitations). Of these, about 25% are 85 and older and 70% report they are in fair to poor health. [The Henry J. Kaiser Foundation. Long-term Care: Medicaid’s role and challenges [Publication #2172]. Washington, DC: Author, 1999 ]

40% of the older population with long-term care needs are poor or near poor (with incomes below 150% of the federal poverty level). [The Henry J. Kaiser Foundation. Long-term Care: Medicaid’s role and challenges [Publication #2172]. Washington, DC: Author, 1999 ]

MORE INFORMATION WILL BE POSTED HERE AS TIME PERMITS. Much more information can be found in our Sourcebooks published annually.

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